Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.021388 0.023588 0.025783 0.028132 0.030571 0.033024 0.035671
2025-03-02 0.016963 0.020437 0.024029 0.027991 0.032215 0.036564 0.041357
2025-03-09 0.014456 0.018666 0.023135 0.028170 0.033633 0.039339 0.045707
2025-03-16 0.012200 0.016883 0.021982 0.027838 0.034292 0.041113 0.048804
2025-03-23 0.010598 0.015659 0.021299 0.027886 0.035237 0.043083 0.052000
2025-03-30 0.009054 0.014361 0.020420 0.027614 0.035739 0.044492 0.054511
2025-04-06 0.007717 0.013191 0.019599 0.027329 0.036160 0.045752 0.056801
2025-04-13 0.006059 0.011485 0.018047 0.026122 0.035473 0.045727 0.057625
2025-04-20 0.005414 0.011010 0.017924 0.026537 0.036592 0.047680 0.060599
2025-04-27 0.004599 0.010235 0.017387 0.026426 0.037076 0.048894 0.062728
2025-05-04 0.003745 0.009324 0.016629 0.026010 0.037174 0.049645 0.064315
2025-05-11 0.003208 0.008811 0.016340 0.026133 0.037877 0.051062 0.066626
2025-05-18 0.002617 0.008189 0.015927 0.026145 0.038508 0.052466 0.069010
2025-05-25 0.002028 0.007497 0.015398 0.026008 0.038969 0.053691 0.071213
2025-06-01 0.001616 0.007032 0.015139 0.026181 0.039776 0.055292 0.073821
2025-06-08 0.001133 0.006333 0.014512 0.025861 0.039969 0.056166 0.075588
2025-06-15 0.000817 0.005874 0.014191 0.025907 0.040586 0.057517 0.077881
2025-06-22 0.000499 0.005290 0.013649 0.025643 0.040807 0.058392 0.079619
2025-06-29 0.000256 0.004739 0.013118 0.025368 0.040997 0.059216 0.081284
2025-07-06 0.000028 0.003823 0.011946 0.024200 0.040059 0.058694 0.081385
2025-07-13 0.000001 0.003655 0.011949 0.024601 0.041057 0.060445 0.084094
2025-07-20 NaN 0.003285 0.011590 0.024494 0.041409 0.061423 0.085902
2025-07-27 NaN 0.002824 0.011033 0.024091 0.041375 0.061932 0.087157